Boys -
Girls
New Haven Semi-State
2008
-
2009 -
2010
These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this semi-state. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a
projection of this round of the tournament.
Semi-State Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the regional simulation for each trial were included in the semi-state simulation for that trial.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
School | Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score | Min Score | Max Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
---|
Huntington North |
100.0% |
1.9 |
99 |
28 |
232 |
48.2 |
27.3 |
14.2 |
6.8 |
2.5 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Concord |
100.0% |
3.0 |
124 |
33 |
291 |
17.7 |
23.3 |
24.3 |
17.6 |
10.6 |
3.9 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bishop Dwenger |
100.0% |
3.2 |
128 |
39 |
297 |
18.0 |
21.1 |
21.1 |
18.1 |
12.1 |
5.6 |
2.2 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
St. Joseph's |
100.0% |
3.7 |
139 |
41 |
306 |
10.4 |
16.3 |
20.3 |
22.2 |
16.3 |
8.0 |
3.5 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Snider |
100.0% |
4.6 |
157 |
52 |
355 |
5.3 |
10.4 |
14.9 |
20.1 |
22.0 |
13.0 |
6.5 |
3.3 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Pendleton Heights |
100.0% |
6.4 |
190 |
78 |
308 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
3.4 |
9.3 |
19.5 |
27.0 |
17.1 |
9.5 |
5.6 |
3.5 |
1.7 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
West Noble |
100.0% |
9.3 |
234 |
100 |
369 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.8 |
5.3 |
10.5 |
13.8 |
13.2 |
11.1 |
10.0 |
8.5 |
7.7 |
7.6 |
6.0 |
3.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Homestead |
100.0% |
9.5 |
238 |
114 |
354 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
6.6 |
12.9 |
14.9 |
14.8 |
13.4 |
11.6 |
9.3 |
6.9 |
4.9 |
1.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
Warsaw |
100.0% |
9.7 |
240 |
109 |
382 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.8 |
3.6 |
8.4 |
12.0 |
12.0 |
11.9 |
10.1 |
9.5 |
8.9 |
8.3 |
7.3 |
5.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
Carroll (FW) |
100.0% |
9.8 |
241 |
135 |
310 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
3.0 |
7.9 |
14.7 |
17.6 |
19.1 |
17.3 |
11.2 |
6.1 |
2.1 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bellmont |
100.0% |
9.8 |
242 |
86 |
387 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
3.7 |
7.8 |
11.1 |
11.9 |
11.2 |
10.6 |
9.3 |
9.4 |
8.6 |
8.0 |
6.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Northridge |
100.0% |
11.3 |
262 |
117 |
384 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
3.4 |
5.7 |
7.7 |
9.1 |
10.7 |
11.0 |
12.7 |
13.4 |
13.3 |
12.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Prairie Heights |
100.0% |
12.2 |
271 |
179 |
368 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.8 |
2.6 |
5.5 |
8.7 |
14.7 |
19.4 |
22.4 |
17.9 |
7.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mishawaka |
100.0% |
12.2 |
276 |
144 |
398 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
3.0 |
4.6 |
6.6 |
7.7 |
9.8 |
11.7 |
15.0 |
20.8 |
19.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) |
100.0% |
13.3 |
298 |
142 |
432 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
5.6 |
8.0 |
10.7 |
19.3 |
43.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Runner | School | Rating | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
Nathan Hendershot |
Pendleton Heights |
15:42 |
100.0% |
1.0 |
50.2 |
22.4 |
15.9 |
6.5 |
3.1 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
James Martin |
Carroll (FW) |
15:45 |
100.0% |
1.4 |
35.3 |
36.6 |
16.3 |
6.7 |
2.6 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Brad Hess |
Carroll (FW) |
15:54 |
100.0% |
2.7 |
6.0 |
20.3 |
31.9 |
17.6 |
12.1 |
5.7 |
2.5 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
Josh Graham |
Huntington North |
15:57 |
100.0% |
3.4 |
6.8 |
13.5 |
18.7 |
27.7 |
14.4 |
7.6 |
4.1 |
2.6 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Ross Ochs |
Huntington North |
16:07 |
100.0% |
5.3 |
0.7 |
3.1 |
6.6 |
13.5 |
22.3 |
15.0 |
10.6 |
7.6 |
5.2 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
Kodi Mullins |
Homestead |
16:13 |
100.0% |
7.2 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
3.2 |
8.1 |
10.3 |
12.9 |
11.7 |
9.3 |
7.7 |
6.3 |
5.3 |
4.2 |
3.5 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
Daniel Zelaya |
Concord |
16:15 |
100.0% |
7.9 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
2.7 |
5.7 |
8.6 |
11.8 |
11.4 |
9.8 |
9.0 |
7.0 |
5.8 |
4.7 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
2.6 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
Michael Bradley |
St. Joseph's |
16:19 |
100.0% |
9.5 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.5 |
3.6 |
6.3 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.6 |
7.1 |
6.2 |
5.7 |
5.1 |
4.4 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
Nicholas Lagemann |
Prairie Heights |
16:21 |
100.0% |
10.4 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
3.3 |
4.6 |
6.9 |
7.9 |
8.3 |
7.7 |
7.6 |
6.6 |
5.7 |
5.4 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
Curtis Kent |
Angola |
16:21 |
99.1% |
10.9 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
2.6 |
4.1 |
6.2 |
7.4 |
7.6 |
7.5 |
6.9 |
6.4 |
5.8 |
5.3 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
3.7 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
Tyler Wynn |
Goshen |
16:26 |
98.9% |
13.5 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.5 |
3.8 |
5.2 |
5.6 |
5.9 |
5.8 |
5.3 |
5.8 |
5.4 |
5.0 |
4.8 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
Brian Willoughby |
Concord |
16:26 |
100.0% |
14.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
4.3 |
5.3 |
5.7 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
6.1 |
5.6 |
5.2 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
Trevor Moore |
Northridge |
16:27 |
100.0% |
14.7 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.7 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
5.9 |
5.6 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
5.0 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
2.9 |
Keigan Culler |
Fremont |
16:29 |
96.0% |
16.3 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
4.9 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
3.7 |
3.3 |
Andrew McLain |
Homestead |
16:30 |
100.0% |
17.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.7 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
5.0 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
Matt Perkins |
Prairie Heights |
16:30 |
100.0% |
16.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.9 |
4.7 |
4.9 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
4.8 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
Miguel Lozano |
Mishawaka |
16:31 |
100.0% |
18.6 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
Austin Roberts |
Huntington North |
16:34 |
100.0% |
21.2 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
Luke Momper |
Bishop Dwenger |
16:35 |
100.0% |
22.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
Joe Landeros |
West Noble |
16:35 |
100.0% |
22.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
Hunter Mills |
Pendleton Heights |
16:37 |
100.0% |
24.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
Andy Brennan |
Bishop Dwenger |
16:37 |
100.0% |
24.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
Evan Boucher |
Bellmont |
16:38 |
100.0% |
25.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
Ethan Wappes |
Snider |
16:38 |
100.0% |
25.8 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
Charlie Melton |
Fort Wayne North Side |
16:39 |
83.4% |
24.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
Chris LaFree |
Riley |
16:40 |
85.3% |
25.7 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
Joey Zielinski |
St. Joseph's |
16:41 |
100.0% |
28.2 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
Mitch Dutton |
Snider |
16:41 |
100.0% |
28.7 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
Jordan Johnson |
Elkhart Central |
16:42 |
80.4% |
27.4 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
Chandler Sonafrank |
Southwood |
16:42 |
99.6% |
29.8 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
Austin Wenger |
NorthWood |
16:42 |
80.8% |
27.6 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
Andrew Eckrich |
Bishop Dwenger |
16:42 |
100.0% |
30.5 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
Jose Mejia |
Wawasee |
16:43 |
79.2% |
28.5 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
Nate West |
Warsaw |
16:44 |
100.0% |
32.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
Phil Schroeder |
Bishop Dwenger |
16:45 |
100.0% |
33.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.0 |